Crotty Cogitation: Liberal Janice Hahn, with Help from Labor, to Face Republican Craig Huey in Runoff

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Liberal Janice Hahn, with Help from Labor, to Face Republican Craig Huey in Runoff

Debra Bowen trails Huey for the second spot by 206 votes with late absentees and provisional ballots not yet counted.

How did this happen? The candidates with the strongest field operations won in a special election where only 15.43% of voters cast ballots.

As is always the case in low turnout special elections, those campaigns that identified and almost literally dragged their voters to the polls, combined with a "high touch" absentee program that put votes in the bank early finished on top.

The question for Bowen and consultant Parke Skelton is whether the campaign's absentee effort was thorough enough to make up the 206 votes by which she trails Huey.

The difference between the two is only 0.39% of all votes cast on Tuesday, which seems a lot of ground to make up in a field of 16 candidates.

US REPRESENTATIVE 36 DIST
REGISTRATION	345,232
JANICE HAHN	DEM	13,137	24.66%
CRAIG HUEY	REP	11,648	21.87%
DEBRA BOWEN	DEM	11,442	21.48%
MARCY WINOGRAD	DEM	5,066	9.51%
MIKE GIN	REP	4,145	7.78%
MIKE WEBB	REP	3,148	5.91%
PATRICK BOBKO	REP	1,954	3.67%
STEVE COLLETT	LIB	738	1.39%
STEPHEN EISELE	REP	660	1.24%
DANIEL H ADLER	DEM	285	0.54%
LORAINE GOODWIN	DEM	260	0.49%
MARIA E MONTANO	PF	252	0.47%
GEORGE NEWBERRY	REP	198	0.37%
MATTHEW ROOZEE	NP	132	0.25%
KATHERINE PILOT	NP	108	0.20%
MICHAEL T CHAMNESS	NP	93	0.17%

	TURNOUT	53,266	15.43%

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